Thursday, 1 August 2013

Season preview

Myself (@Terrier1987cas), @HTFCOnline and @72OffWins have got together to form a 'brain trust' of sorts and produce a Championship 2013/14 preview. Below we offer an insight to all 24 teams in the league this season, and we all attempt to predict the league from positions one to 24. Have a look through and use the comments section to let us know what you think!



Barnsley


Last time out
If last season had started on 1st January then Barnsley would have finished 6th, sneaking into the final playoff spot. They lost only five and won nine of their final 21 league games, averaging 1.62 points per game, the same as Championship winners and now Premier League club Cardiff City. The reason they only survived on the final day of the season - by the skin of their teeth - was that their form up until January saw them sitting bottom of the table, four points from safety. The fact they did so well in the latter half of the season but still found themselves embroiled in a bitter struggle shows just how competitive the Championship was last season.

What’s new?
In: Dale Jennings, Chris O'Grady, Christian Dibble, Wade Joyce, Lewin Nyatanga, John Cofie, Jean-Yves Mvoto
Out: Matt Done, Rob Edwards, Stephen Foster, John Rooney, Marlon Harewood, Lukas Lidakiveous, Toni Silva

Barnsley have managed to hold on to all their key players and have added very wisely. Chris O'Grady was a huge influence for them last season and has made his loan move from Sheffield Wednesday permanent. He and Chris Dagnall are probably the hardest working strikeforce in the league and will offer endless running in a very competitive team. Nyatanga is another good signing who will form a good partnership at the back alongside the ever impressive Martin Cranie, while Dale Jennings is something of a wildcard as nobody really knows if he's fulfilled his potential while in Germany.

Key Player
Jacob Mellis - The former Chelsea youngster was a bit hot and cold last season but showed glimpses of his undoubted quality. If he can push on this season then Barnsley could be forced to sell another top midfielder they've nurtured, following the departures of Jacob Butterfield and Danny Drinkwater in previous seasons.

Prediction
A very impressive comfortable mid-table finish for the Tykes.


Birmingham


Last time out
Birmingham finished last season only seven points off the playoffs, despite never actually troubling the top half of the table. They started the season poorly and many thought they were in serious trouble, but Lee Clark's team improved and put a consistent run together which saw them finish well clear of the drop zone.

What’s new?
In: Tom Adeyami, Neal Erdley, Lee Novak, Darren Randolph, Andrew Shinnie, Matt Green, Kyle Bartley, Dan Burn, Scott Allan, Shane Ferguson
Out: Curtis Davies, Nathan Redmond

Birmingham have lost probably their best two players during the summer in Redmond and Davies. However, Clark has looked to replace them with plenty of hard working players who will give 100% to the cause. Expect Birmingham to be much tougher to beat next season without being spectacular, as a Town fan their signing of Lee Novak sums them up - hard working but not very good.

Key Player
Chris Burke - Burke was pretty much unplayable at the Galpharm last season. With Redmond gone the blues will depend on the Scottish winger much more this season.

Prediction
Solid but unspectacular - lower mid-table.


Blackburn


Last time out
Despite being safe come the last game of the season Blackburn were very much in the relegation scrap. If it weren't for the goals of Jordan Rhodes then Rovers would have almost certainly gone down. They finished with Gary Bowyer in charge who was their fourth manager of the campaign following the dismissals of Steve Kean, Henning Berg and Michael Appleton.

What’s new?
In: Chris Taylor, Alan Judge, Simon Eastwood, Devarn Green, DJ Campbell, Matthew Kilgallon, Alex Marrow, Tommy Spurr
Out: Danny Murphy, Nuno Gomes, Martin Olsson

Martin Olsson's departure is the only real one of any note, as despite being big names Danny Murphy and Nuno Gomes would not have been part of Bowyer's plans this season. If they manage to keep Rhodes amid interest from plenty of teams then they have the hot favourite for the golden boot award again. Alongside Campbell and Leon Best Rhodes is one of a number of top strikers Rovers have on their books. Alan Judge is a good signing who I think will do well at this level and the likes of Kilgallon and Spurr will make them harder to beat.

Key Player
Jordan Rhodes - Who else? His goals alone should ensure they stay up again.

Prediction
A stable campaign would be great for them. Mid-table.


Blackpool


Last time out
They started the season as one of the favourites for promotion, and started like they were good value for money. They were top of the table before Town went to Bloomfield Road in September and won on live TV. In the end they never really threatened the top end of the table and finished closer to the relegation zone than the playoffs.

What’s new?
In: Gary MacKenzie, Bobby Grant, Michael Chopra, Steve Davies
Out: Alex Baptiste, Ashley Eathsam, Kevin Phillips, Tiago Gomes, Steve Eardley, Stephen Crainey

The key thing for Paul Ince is that he's managed to hold on to his son. Tom is a top player in the Championship and along with Matt Phillipps Blackpool have plenty of width to their team.However, they lack an out and out goalscorer and can be prone to defensive mishaps. Michael Chopra could be the goalscorer they need if he can play to his potential and put off-field problems behind him, but their defensive problems won't have been aided much by their summer dealings.

Key Player
Tom Ince - One of the best players in the Championship, Blackpool have done well to hang on to him.

Prediction
A struggle, and I doubt Paul Ince will still be their manager come May.


Bolton


Last time out
Bolton finished last season level with sixth place Leicester but missed out on the playoffs on goal difference. They enjoyed a brilliant end to the season as Dougie Freedman started to see positive results, and many expect them to carry that form into this campaign.

What’s new?
In: Alex Baptiste, Robert Hall, Marc Tierney, Hayden White, Conor Wilkinson, Jermaine Beckford, Gray Fraser, Erik Bukran, Andre Moritz
Out: Marco Alonso, Kevin Davies, Gregg Wylde, Sam Ricketts

Very good dealings in the transfer market by Freedman this summer, with the key signing for me being that of forward Jermaine Beckford from Leicester. They lacked a real goalscorer last season and as Town fans saw that's exactly what Beckford is. His goals, along with the momentum they have following their great end to last season, should really propel them on to last season as they look to return to the Premier League.

Key Player
Chris Eagles - Always contributes plenty of goals and assists, he'll be the perfect supply chain for Beckford.

Prediction
Promotion.


Bournemouth


Last time out
Bournemouth were promoted in second place last season from League One. They were struggling at the wrong end of the table until Eddie Howe made his triumphant return to Dean Court and performed a fantastic turnaround in the clubs fortunes.

What’s new?
In: Elliott Ward, Ian Harte, Mohamed Coulibaly, Andrew Surman
Out: Charlie Sheringham, Steve Fletcher, Frank Demouge

The signings Bournemouth have made are stellar, but they haven't made as many as people would have expected. Plenty of people thought they would make some really big name signings but they haven't quite materialised. That means the cherries still really have a League One squad but with a few good additions, so the short odds bookies have them at represent terrible value for money.

Key Player
Matt Ritchie - The former Swindon midfielder has Championship quality.

Prediction
A struggle, but they should be okay.

Brighton


Last time out
Brighton had another solid season last year under Gus Poyet before his very public sacking once the season had finished. Their playoff campaign ended up being a complete farce but they will look to bounce back this season. They were definitely one of the best teams to watch last campaign and I expect good football again this season.

What’s new?
In: Matthew Upson, Adam Chicksen, Kemy Agustien
Out: Gary Dicker, Marcos Painter, Vicente, Stephen Dobbie, Ryan Harley, Torbjorn Agdestein

Former Barcelona midfielder Oscar Garcia is the new manager of the seagulls so don't expect their good football to disappear. They haven't lost any of their key players and have signed good experience at the back in Matthew Upson, so they should be just as strong this season. Unfortunately for Brighton there are some brilliant teams in the Championship this term and they won't push for automatic promotion again but could very well be in and around the top six again.

Key Player
Liam Bridcutt - For me one of the best midfielders outside the Premier League.

Prediction
Playoffs again.


Burnley


Last time out
Burnley finished mid-table last season after a poor end to the season, but never really looked in that much danger. They depended very much on the goals of Charlie Austin and when his goals dried up they had a very alarming slump.

What’s new?
In: Tom Heaton, Joseph Mills, Alex Cisak, Scott Arfield
Out: Lee Grant, Charlie Austin

The major news at Turf Moor this summer has centered around striker Charlie Austin. A fee was agreed with Hull City before he failed a medical but he's this week completed a move to QPR. Without his goals Burnely will struggle greatly as the other strikers on their books failed to make any real impact last season. Scott Arfield has potential in my opinion and was treated unfairly at Town, but he isn't really a signing that will improve them enough to challenge.

Key Player
Kieran Tripper - In my opinion the best right-back in the Championship.

Prediction
They'll struggle, but should survive.


Charlton

Last time out
The Addicks enjoyed a fruitful season back in The Championship, and surprised many pundits and outsiders, by pushing for a play-off place at the end of last season. Charlton finished the 12/13 season with an impressive 1 defeat in their final 10 games, which should set them up with some momentum going into the new season.

What’s new?
Well not a lot really… Continuity could be the key at The Valley. However, some of the old guard have been moved on to pastures new; Matt Taylor, Bradley Wright-Phillips, Scott Wagstaff and Ricardo Fuller have all left the club (with Fuller returning on trial), with Coventry’s Richard Wood and the creative Mark Gower the only notable incomings. Ex Huddersfield loanee, Simon Church is on trial, but it would be surprising if he was to make an impact down at The Valley. The main success for Charlton in the market will be keeping hold of talented wingmen Callum Harriott and Bradley Pritchard, who were key components of their impressive end of season run.

Manager ability
Chris Powell has had an excellent start to his managerial career. Questions were asked initially, as the former Athletic left back struggled with his new role, and he saw The Addicks fall out of the League 1 play offs. Having rebuilt the side, Powell has seen his team go from a 13th place finish in League 1 to a 9th place Championship finish in 2 years. With a limited budget, he has done a brilliant job.

Key Player
Yann Kermorgant; The big Frenchman is currently Charlton’s only available striker. Adding competition to him and keeping him firing will be a huge factor in how Charlton will do this season. Dead ball expert Johnnie Jackson will also be a key and influential figure.

Prediction
Up to the time of writing this, Charlton really haven’t strengthened the squad at all. Despite having a good academy, Charlton will be hard pushed to recreate last season’s strong showing, with what looks like a relatively thin squad in terms of attacking talent. If lengthy injuries befall key players such as Kermorgant, Pritchard and Jackson, then The Addicks may be pushed towards the trap door. As it is, with players such as Jackson, Pritchard and Kermorgant and a talented manager in Powell, Charlton should have enough for a lower to mid table finish.

Derby

Last time out
Last season represented further steady progress for The Rams under the guidance of ‘The Young Man’, Nigel Clough.  A 10th place finish, the highest the club has achieved since they were relegated from the Premier League in 2008. A sparkling home record, supplemented with a wonderful break-through season for midfielder Will Hughes gave the supporters a little cheer, although 13 league defeats away from home gave the travelling hoards little cheer.

What’s new?
Derby’s early push in the transfer market seemed to indicate that extra investment had arrived at Pride Park. Highly rated Dundee Utd frontman Johnny Russell, and Chris Martin were early arrivals, as was Burnley keeper Lee Grant. Craig Forsyth and John Eustace, should bring also bring add solidarity, as Derby’s squad shaped up nicely. But recently, star full back John Brayford has been sold to Cardiff.  Despite serial loanee Adam Smith joining on… Yes, loan, boss Clough, has said that he is happy with the shape of his squad going into the new season, although there may be room to bring in an extra defender on loan. The shining light for Derby this season could be in the shape of academy duo Will Hughes and Mason Bennett, both are expected to push on for club and country.

Manager ability
Clough is making a name for himself in a very different way to what his father did. Brash, arrogant and able to turn things around frantically and quickly, Brian quite rightly made a real name for himself in world football. Nigel though, is unassuming and respectful, and one for long term stability and gradual progress. An excellent 11 years at Burton showed real year by year progress, and Clough is doing similar things at Derby. If the trend follows on this year, then Derby could be looking at another top 10 finish, with an outside shot at the playoffs.

Key Player
Johnny Russell; Derby have genuine quality through the middle of the park, but have lacked a genuine goal scorer for a number of years. If Russell clicks, then he could fire Derby towards the top 6.

Prediction
Prior to selling Brayford, I think Derby fans could have been optimistic for a top 6 challenge. As it is, I’m not quite sure that the financial fire power is there for a tilt at the play-offs. Clough’s methods should once again help The Rams progress, but it might not be as quickly as some fans would like.

Doncaster

Last time out
I don’t think there’s ever been a season finale quite like the one Doncaster had last year. For anyone who isn’t familiar, the final game of the League 1 season saw 2nd place Doncaster travel to 3rd place Brentford in a winner takes all Battle Royale. Marcello Trotta was inches away from sealing a Brentford promotion, but his penalty cannoned back off the bar, and Doncaster went down the other end, and sealed their own place within this year’s championship. 

What’s new?
Talks have been on-going all summer about a possible 20m investment from Ireland, but these reports have yet to be finalised, and it appears may drag on for a short while yet. Brian Flynn despite doing a fantastic job in helping Rovers back in to The Championship, was moved back upstairs, and Paul Dickov was employed as the new man in charge.  Rovers have not yet flexed any financial muscle, although the signings of Dean Furman and Harry Forrester could be clever bits of business. Bongani Khumalo and Richie Wellens look set to sign, and wingman Mark Duffy joins after a good season at Scunthorpe, whilst Marc De Val Fernandez should add a little bit of mystery.

Manager ability
Despite a poor end to his first job in management at Oldham, Dickov remains highly thought of in footballing circles. The Scotsman can be lauded for some of his work in the transfer market and accredited with finding one or two gems on a tight budget, and will be looking to do the same again at a higher level. Dickov will be looking to implement a 4231 formation, which is something he struggled to do at Oldham due to quality of personnel.

Key Player
James Coppinger is somewhat of a Doncaster legend, and much will once again be expected of the diminutive 32 year old. A creative lynchpin, Coppinger will look to pull the strings for a Doncaster side who may see a shift from the more direct football under Saunders and Flynn, to a more pleasing approach under Dickov.

Prediction
If the consortium materialises, and Doncaster get funds available, then they may surprise one or two people this forthcoming season. If the money fails to appear, then I could see Dickov struggling to impose his ideals on Rovers.

Huddersfield

Last time out
Well that was a close one! With 9 minutes of The Championship season remaining, Huddersfield were staring down a relegation gun, having amassed what would have been a record 57 points for a relegated side. As it was, player of the season James Vaughan was to karate kick his 14th corner flag, and Town were safe. Simon Grayson’s side started the season off on fire, and after 7 games were sat in the automatic promotion slots. Things went off the rails alarmingly though, and Grayson lost his grip, and his job, as The Terriers were free falling back to a division that they’d spent the last 8 season’s trying to escape from. Methodical Mark Robins came in, shored up a side who were haemorrhaging goals, and added a counter-attacking threat that saw The Terriers form on the road massively improve, and ultimately, do enough to survive.

What’s new?
A summer of hysteria and twitter badgering over the will he sign, won’t he sign saga of James Vaughan was ended on the 3rd of July, when the talismanic front-man signed a 3 year contract. The signing was a significant show of intent from chairman Dean Hoyle, who has backed his manager heavily in the transfer market once again. Town though, will miss the goal threat of Jermaine Beckford, but fellow forward Martin Paterson has signed from Burnley, young prospect Daniel Carr arrived from Dulwich Hamlet and a hero of the League 2 playoff season, Jon Stead returned to add experience to the front line, and today, trialist Cristian Lopez Santamaria has signed a 1 year deal, to give Town plenty of options up top. Lollypop specialist Adam Hammill, has signed for an undisclosed fee from Wolves, energetic Jonathan Hogg has swapped last year’s playoff runners up Watford for the Terriers, and Jake Carroll has signed from St Patricks FC to add competition to the well-stocked left back berth. All players will now be training at the ever improving Canalside complex, which should prove to be of a huge benefit to The Terriers over the coming months and years.

Manager ability
Mark Robins is building up quite an impressive cv. Following good work at Rotherham, Barnsley and Coventry, the Lancastrian can quite rightly point to his turnaround of The Terriers as another impressive achievement. Now looking to stamp his mark, Robins has slowly moved Town away from the rigid hoof and hope outfit that they were under Grayson, and started the transformation into a footballing outfit. 

Key Player
James Vaughan - The fitness of Vaughan is absolutely key for Huddersfield. Not only was he the top scorer last season, but was also essential in leading from the front with a series of lung-busting displays. Vaughan not only lifts the players, but also the crowd with his fire and work rate.

Prediction
Dean Hoyle has again provided excellent backing, and the signings of Hogg and Vaughan could be the difference between mid-table and another relegation scrap. So long as the side adapt to Robins’ new style, Town should improve on last season’s showing.

Ipswich

Last time out
In 12/13, Ipswich looked doomed from early to mid-season. Cast adrift at the foot of the league, the Tractor Boys hierarchy moved to sack boss Paul Jewell after 13 games. His replacement, a masterstroke. Blunt Yorkshireman, Mick McCarthy moved down to Suffolk, and immediately made Ipswich a very tough side to crack. A series of water-tight defensive performances through February, March and April, saw The Blues concede more than 1 goal twice in 15 games. It wasn’t surprising when defender Tommy Smith was named player of the year, but Ipswich had transformed from a mess under Jewell, to a structured, rigid unit in only a few months since his departure.

What’s new?
Mick McCarthy has been busy shaping his squad over the summer and has brought in 11 players. Notable incomings include ex loanee David McGoldrick, Christophe Berra, Jay Tabb and Paul Anderson. The loss though of Jay Emmanuel-Thomas may yet be a disappointing one, blessed with a lot of technical ability, skill and presence, ‘J-ET’, never really hit it off at Portman Road, and his potential may have to be realised over in Bristol as he was used in the part ex for Paul Anderson with Bristol City. There have been quiet murmurings for years about the debt level at Ipswich, but the majority of fans seem unperturbed with Financial Fair Play, just around the corner.

Manager ability
As far as Championship managers go (and I don’t mean the game), you don’t get many better ones than old Mick.  His record includes; 3 losing playoff campaigns at Millwall, Sunderland and Wolves and 2 Championship titles at Sunderland and Wolves. The former Eire manager is renowned for his organised, rigid and difficult to beat approach.

Key Player
Aaron Cresswell - a shining light at the back, the former Tranmere fullback has become an important member of the Ipswich backline. Defensively sound, whilst able to provide ammunition from deep for the forwards, which will have scouts flocking at Portman Road once again.

Prediction
McCarthy will look to build on solid foundations at the back, but you have to question whether Ipswich have enough firepower to blast their way into the top 6.

Leeds

Last time out
In-fighting, apathy, financial strife, key players sold, disappointment – all symptoms of a typical Leeds Utd season. Season 12/13 didn’t promise anything different… With new owners GFH taking several months to complete their purchase of Leeds Utd, rumours were abound that maybe a rich Sheikh wasn’t involved after all… Multi-million pound signings were not forthcoming as originally hoped, and Neil Warnock soldiered on with a team of over 30 year old freebies and misfits, mixed with academy graduates. The football was dire, ticket prices high, and the fans stayed away from Elland Road, as the team were sucked towards the relegation places when Warnock departed near the end of the season. The very likeable Brian McDermott replaced Warnock, and steered Leeds away from any trouble before the season had finished.

What’s new?
Financially not much… Leeds remain quite thrifty, but they have spent over 1m on the excellent Luke Murphy, who should prove to be a hit at Elland Road this season. Noel Hunt and Matt Smith have also arrived to pep up the forward line, whilst several players have left the club, including Steve Morison on loan to Millwall. Perhaps the biggest change is the communication at boardroom level; for years, fans were left in the dark as Ken Bates failed to engage supporter groups and GFH are now putting those wrongs, right. After several years of being locked in a dark broom cupboard in a corner of Elland Road, the marketing team have emerged and Leeds branding has become more visible around the local area, and ticket prices seem to be heading back down towards an affordable level. Whilst GFH are appeasing supporters, no decision more popular than the sacking of the maligned Ken Bates! The old crone seems intent on dragging Leeds through the mud with court cases which could again financially impact the boys from Beeston.

Manager ability
With only one previous job so far to his name, it might be difficult to give a real appraisal of Brian McDermott. On the face of it, McDermott is a very decent and respectful manager, whom did an excellent job with Reading. After a playoff campaign and promotion to the Premier League, it seemed ridiculous to me that McDermott was sacked just after winning manager of the month… But Reading’s loss could be Leeds Utd’s gain – a good technical coach, McDermott should be able to motivate and improve the younger players at Leeds, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another academy lad in Chris Dawson, steel the limelight this season.

Key Player
Ross McCormack – McCormack looks to be the most creative outlet at Elland Road. Often inconsistent, the Scotsman has proved on a number of occasions he has the talent to unlock any Championship defence.

Prediction
Without any financial clout and a trimmed squad, it’s difficult to see Leeds being any different this time around. On paper, the side looks to lack a genuine wide player, and probably isn’t as strong at the back as the manager would like. Much could hinge on the fitness and consistency of Ross McCormack.

Leicester

Last time out
Last second, heart wrenching, penalty playoff failure was to be the familiar tale of woe for Leicester City. Not in a shoot-out this time, but with a spot kick to seal Leicester’s progress to the Play Off final, Anthony Knockaert’s weak effort was repelled, and Watford scored within seconds, to end The Foxes season. The defeat was hard to swallow for Leicester fans, who were one of the most fancied sides for promotion after their Thai owners had backed the manager heavily in the transfer market.

What’s new?
Financial fair play seems to have hit The Foxes hard, as the club hierarchy have instructed boss Nigel Pearson to vastly reduce the wage bill. Expensive misfit Jermaine Beckford has finally left, and others such as Neil Danns and Sean St Ledger are being advertised in order to attract a buyer. Left sided Tranmere player Zoumano Bakayogo has come in on a free, but other possible incomings appear to have been halted until the wage bill is reduced.

Manager ability
Nigel Pearson’s popularity dipped somewhat at The King Power stadium last season, previously a hero from the title winning 08/09 management team, it seemed like he may be relieved of his duties. Pearson though has survived, and will be looking to juggle both trimming the squad, and maintaining a competitive playoff push.

Key Player
Chris Wood – The big Kiwi kept Millwall up almost single handed last season and secured a 1.25m move to Leicester in January. Despite a good start, Wood only scored twice in his last 15 games. If he can recapture the kind of form that saw him score 9 in 5 from Christmas to the New Year, then Wood, and Leicester will be heading towards the top 6.

Prediction
I might be wrong, but I don’t sense a feel good factor or good vibes from Leicester at the moment. Murmurs about whether Pearson should be replaced, and a board intent on cost cutting might see The Foxes miss out on the playoffs this season.

Middlesbrough

Last time out
An abysmal away run of 11 defeats in the last 12 games, saw Middlesbrough sink like a stone. Chasing automatic promotion up until February, Middlesbrough’s spectacular implosion saw them drop down to 16th place on the last day.  For Boro, having been tipped to reach the playoffs, that final position was a large disappointment amongst all on Teesside.

What’s new?
31 year old former Sunderland player Dean Whitehead has joined from Stoke, while Hungarian Jozsef Varga has also joined from Debreceni, both should strengthen a midfield that will be missing the released duo of Nicky Bailey and Julio Arca, but still contains the popular Grant Leadbitter. Boss Tony Mowbray doesn’t look like making too many more moves in the transfer market, so Boro may once again rely on an excellent youth academy which continues to churn out top class footballers.

Manager ability
50 year old ex Boro centre back Tony Mowbray is about to enter his 4th season up on Teesside. Many Boro fans feel that he has been hamstrung by previous manager Gordon Strachan, who spent lavishly on a number of SPL misfits who failed to make their mark at The Riverside Stadium. Prior to his current job, Mowbray was manager of the season in his first role up in Scotland at Hibernian, before taking West Brom to the Premier League in his next role. After enduring a nightmare at Celtic, Mowbray landed back in his home town of Middlesbrough and has remained a popular figure up on Teesside.

Key Player
Marvin Emnes – Personal problems affected the Dutch striker last season, but after apparently putting them behind him, the pacey front man has hit form in pre-season. Boro fans will be hoping that he’s back to his best, as they will be desperate for him to score up to 20 goals this season. The fitness of experienced Jonathan Woodgate will also be important, but Boro look well stocked at the back to cover for the centre back.

Prediction
Having not really set the transfer market alight, there could still be negative momentum from the players that finished the last campaign so poorly. However, pre-season seems to have gone reasonably well for Boro and several bright academy prospects in Adam Reach, Luke Williams, Curtis Main and Bryn Morris could really push on this term and guide Boro to a mid-table finish.

Millwall

After fighting off relegation once again, Kenny Jackett decided enough was enough and in May of
this year handed in his resignation to the Millwall hierarchy. In pursuit of a ‘new challenge’, the Lions
were left manager-less for a month or so.

In June, they appointed Steve Lomas, an inexperienced manager yes, but off the back of an
impressive campaign with St Johnstone this seemed a bold and astute move. Time will tell.

This summer:
A now established Championship side, Millwall are renowned for being run on a shoestring budget.

This summer though, Lomas has freshened up his side with a wealth of experience to give the Lions
every chance of securing safety once again – this always beings their primary objective.
Ex-Middlesbrough duo Nicky Bailey and Scott McDonald will offer serious graft befitting of both
Millwall as a football club and their new boss as a former player.

Stephen Bywater, Jermaine Easter and Steve Morison also hop on board to up the squad’s average
age considerably. I’d expect the latter to bag 15+ goals – proven at this level, again a workhorse.
Departure wise, Millwall have lost just one key man – Chris Taylor. The lively wingman left for
Blackburn Rovers early in the transfer window on a free transfer. This would be the only real blow
mind. On the whole, this has been an impressive first transfer window as far as Steve Lomas is
concerned. Fans should be quietly optimistic as the season draws ever nearer.

Prediction
Middle of the road

Nottingham Forest

After coming so close last season, Billy Davies’ will look to mastermind The Reds return to the top
flight with his first full season in charge.
A major blip at the business end of the campaign, combined with the crazy competitive nature of last
season’s Championship saw Davies’ side miss out on the Playoffs by the finest of margins.

This summer:
For me, the most successful window of any Championship side. Understandably, it helps when the
owner is throwing money at it (approximately £4M spent on fees this summer). Still, Billy Davies has
bought well and Forest’s squad continues to grow/strengthen.

Ins: Jamie Mackie, Djamel Abdoun, Jack Hobbs, Jamie Paterson, Dorus de Vries, Eric Lichaj and
Gonzalo Jara.

In Jara (on loan at Forest for a spell last season) and Lichaj, Davies has added two versatile fullbacks
who have experience in the league which they strive to play in next summer.

Jamie Paterson, an ever present in Walsall’s overachieving League One side last season has terrific
experience for a 21 year old. In his three years at the Saddlers, Paterson amassed 94 appearances,
scoring 15 times whilst assisting in several more. After fighting off several other clubs to his
signature, Forest fans can look forward to seeing more of this talented creator in years to come.
Djamel Abdoun represents a significant coup as far as Forest are concerned. The former Olympiakos
winger moves for £1.9M and brings with him a wealth of experience in the Greek top flight (twice
a title winner) and Champions League. The skilful Algerian is sure to be a fans favourite among the
Forest faithful this season.

After three years at Queens Park Rangers, Jamie Mackie moved north to join Forest for a fee of
around £1M. With the seemingly imminent sale of Loic Remy, this move took some QPR fans by
surprise - many thinking Mackie would thrive back in England’s second tier. Forest won’t mind. With
Mackie on board they’ve further strengthened their squad with a tireless, versatile option. 

Outs: Rather like Millwall, Forest lost just the one key man over the course of the summer. Set piece
specialist and all round ‘luxury’ man Lewis McGugan departed The City Ground for a fresh challenge
with Zola’s Watford where he’ll look to fashion his annual goal of the season competition alone.

Prediction
Pushing for promotion

QPR

This summer:
After attempting to buy their way to safety last season, Rangers find themselves needing to cut their
cloth this summer for different financial reasons.

Outs (selected): Park Ji Sung, Jamie Mackie, Jose Bosingwa, Tal Ben Haim, Christopher Samba, DJ Campbell, Djibril Cisse, Rob Hulse, Jay Bothroyd.

As well as those listed above, many more are expected to leave before the window closes. The likes of
Joey Barton, Stephane Mbia and Julio Cesar should all leave in the coming weeks.

Ins: Karl Henry, Richard Dunne, Danny Simpson.

Rather like Forest, experience has been the order of the day in terms of Redknapp’s acquisitions this
summer. All three have played regularly in the Premier League and should have no trouble adapting
to life in the second tier, for a promotion chasing side. None of the new boys are what you would
call signature signings, indeed it’s been a pretty unspectacular window thus far. Creativity and goals
though, will come from elsewhere in what is a very strong outfit.

Prediction
Pushing for promotion

Reading

Nigel Adkins couldn’t prevent Reading from slipping out of the Premier League, but will hope to send
them straight back up in his first full season with the Royals.

This summer:
Impressively, Adkins has largely kept the nucleus of his squad together over the summer. With the
players clearly buying into the managers’ philosophy and ideas, Reading have a fighting chance of
bouncing back at the first time of asking.

Ins: Daniel Williams, Wayne Bridge and Royston Drenthe.

Williams, a USA international with experience most recently in Germany’s ever improving Bundesliga
will offer stability in front of the back four. Signed from Hoffenheim, Daniel could prove an astute
signing for Adkins, though he comes at a weighty price of £1.7M.
Wayne Bridge fills the void left by Ian Harte who departed for Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth. Another
who’s ‘too good’ for this level. Impressed at Brighton under Gus Poyet last time out.
Royston Drenthe, formerly of Everton comes as somewhat of a coup as far as Reading are concerned.
Signed early in the window, the Dutchman with a hammer left foot should feature in front of Wayne
Bridge on the left flank. A strong unit.

Outs: Ian Harte, Joseph Mills, Daniel Carrico, Nicky Shorey, Simon Church, Noel Hunt, Jay Tabb.

Prediction
Pushing for promotion

Sheffield Wednesday

This summer:
Dave Jones has had what you would call an unspectacular summer in terms of transfer activity.
Having done just enough to survive last season, it’ll be a similar squad that aims for the same this
time around. New deals were tied up for regulars Lewis Buxton and Jermaine Johnson – arguably the
strongest business conducted at Hillsborough in the last couple of months.

Ins: Jacques Maghoma, Rafael Floro, Jeremy Helan and Atdhe Nuhiu.

Continental purchases, yes – good enough quality? It’s difficult to know.
Maghoma, although a solid performer for Burton Albion, must step up two divisions and adjust
accordingly.

Jeremy Helan impressed on loan from Manchester City last season. The young French winger’s most
memorable moment came at the John Smith’s Stadium where he received three yellow cards yet
remained on the pitch after a gaffe by referee Mick Russell. The pacey and direct wingman will look
to further enhance his reputation in Yorkshire again this season.

Atdhe Nuhiu, an Austrian striker signed from Rapid Vienna on a free transfer looked set for Crystal
Palace just days before signing for Jones’ Wednesday. Ian Holloway had the frontman on trial at
Selhurst Park only to see him make the move instead, to Hillsborough. At this stage though, he
remains a relatively unknown quantity.

Outs: Nicky Weaver, Chris Lines, Nejc Pecnik, Stephen Bywater, Chris O’Grady.

Prediction
Should do just enough

Watford

This summer:
After coming so close last season, losing out to Crystal Palace in Wembley’s showpiece event, Zola’s
Watford must kick on again if they’re to make the same impression on everyone as they did so
brilliantly last time out.

With the ‘help’ of the Pozzo family, Zola has brought in a whole host of players, many of whom
featured on loan at Vicarage Road last season from either Udinese or Granada (both owned by the
Pozzo’s).

Ins (selected): Iriney, Lars Ekstrand, Reece Brown, Ikechi Anya, Marco Cassetti, Daniel Pudi, Diego Fabbrini, Davide Faraoni, Javi Acuna, Cristian Battocchio, Almen Abdi, Gabriele Angella and Lewis McGugan.

I told you Pozzo had used his chequebook (or not). Other than Reece Brown (Manchester United)
and Lewis McGugan (Nottingham Forest), Zola’s additions all come in from Udinese or Granada on
permanent deals.

Almen Abdi, Ikechi Anya, Marco Cassetti and Daniel Pudil all played key roles last season as Watford
played in a distinctive 352 formation matched only by Hull City (promoted). You would expect Zola to
adopt the same formation this season with many of the Italians so accustomed to it, playing in Serie
A. I would expect Abdi to play a pivotal role in what will surely be another impressive campaign for
the Hornets.

Outs: Jonathan Hogg, Carl Dickinson, John Eustace, Lee Hodson, Craig Forsyth, Fitz Hall, Chris Iwelumo, Mark Yeates, Stephen McGinn, Britt Assombalonga.

Interesting fact: Just two of Sean Dyche’s squad of a couple of years ago remain (Nyron Nosworthy
and Troy Deeney).

Prediction
Pushing for promotion

WIGAN

This summer:
After a longer than (many) expected stay in English football’s top flight, little old Wigan return to the
Championship after eight years of overachieving. The Roberto Martinez era came to an end with the
Spaniard landing the job at Everton – now it’s the turn of Owen Coyle to mastermind a return to the
top flight, for the Latics.

Ins: Juan Carlos Garcia, Grant Holt, Marc-Antoine Fortune, Scott Carson, James Perch, Thomas Rogne, Chris McCann and Stephen Crainey.

Largely unspectacular yes, but this summer was more about keeping what you had if you’re Wigan
Athletic. At the time of writing, they’ve done damn good job – chances are a couple (McManaman
and Maloney) will move on. In any case, all of the above are more than capable at this level and will
add balance and depth to what is a new beginning under Owen Coyle.

Outs: Ronnie Stam, Antonin Alcaraz, Arouna Kone, Franco di Santo, David Jones, Maynor Figueroa, Albert Crusat, Romain Golobart.

Of course Wigan will be hit by the loss of such talent, but it was inevitable given contracts, wages
and financial fair play implications. With £6M being brought in for Arouna Kone and the wage bill
lightened extensively, Wigan should be financially stable for years to come under the Chairmanship
of Dave Whelan.

Prediction
Should sneak a Playoff spot

YEOVIL TOWN

This summer:
There’s not much point dressing it up – this season will be a titanic struggle for a side that under Gary
Johnson have done brilliantly to even have a place in this season’s Championship.

Ins: Liam Davies, Alan Tate, Danny Seaborne, Billy Clifford, Michael Ngoo, Joel Grant and Sam Hoskins.

Outs: Gavin Williams, Richard Hines, Dominic Blizzard, Reuben Reid and Ben Gordon.

In Paddy Madden, Yeovil have a genuine out and out goalscorer, you would assume that for Yeovil to
have any chance of staying in this ever competitive division, the Irishman (who’s come a long way in
a short period of time), must continue to score regularly for the Glovers.
With the additions of Alan Tate (Premiership experience with Swansea) and Billy Clifford, once
fancied youngster at Chelsea now with plenty football league experience, you just never know.

Prediction
A titantic struggle, bottom.

Final predictions:

Tuesday, 30 July 2013

Forest (a) - It starts again...

The 2013/14 season kicks off this Saturday and for us it's a visit to The City Ground to take on Nottingham Forest. The last time we began a campaign in Nottingham was in 2010/11 when we were impressive in a 3-0 victory against Notts County. However, our most recent visit to the city in February was one to forget as we were beaten 6-1, with the biggest tits on display that evening representing Town rather than Hooters.

That heavy defeat last season was the first game in charge of Huddersfield for Mark Robins, while it was the first victory for Billy Davies since returning to manage Forest. Radoslaw Majewski scored a hat-trick and the final result did not flatter a Forest team who in all honesty could have scored more. Town's collapse that evening was something we saw on a number of occasions last season, but under Robins we eventually managed to improve a dire defence and achieve survival.

Despite losing heavily at Forest and a couple of weeks later at Brighton, Robins definitely made an early impact when appointed. Town took 10 points from a possible 18 in his first six games and we also won three of our last five games to ensure we finished outside of the bottom three. We averaged 1.4 points per game under Robins, an average which would have seen us finish 10th had we managed it all season. The task now is to continue improving and make sure we're not in a relegation battle next May.
Improvements at Town
Robins, alongside Dean Hoyle, Nigel Clibbens and Ross Wilson, has certainly made moves to improve the squad. Cult hero James Vaughan has signed a permanent deal with the club following his successful loan spell, while Martin Paterson and Jon Stead both signed on free transfers to provide more firepower. Adam Hammill is another former loanee to complete a permanent move while Jonathan Hogg signed from Watford earlier this week to bolster a lightweight midfield. Our midfield and attack are definitely improved on what we had at our disposal last season.

A major concern for Town fans however is that we haven't really made any moves to improve what was the worst defence in the Championship last season excluding the teams who were relegated. On his day Joel Lynch is our best central defender so a lot of hope hinges on him finding the form which impressed fans upon his arrival last term. Most fans are adament that a defender will be signed in the near future, and if a good one can be acquired all areas of the squad will have been strengthened. A solid defence would be a great backbone for our improved attack.

No matter what squad improvements have been made, the aim again should be survival. It's pivotal that we become accustomed to Championship football to grow as a club. We must maintain our status in England's second tier, and grow year on year. Improvement this season would be to avoid a relegation battle come May - we could end up with less points than last season but be comfortably above the drop zone - that would be progress. We have a Championship infrastructure, and in my opinion we have a decent Championship squad, so survival is very attainable.
Improvements at Forest
Our opponents this weekend have very different objectives for the season. If you follow pretty much any Forest fan on Twitter they'll tell you they're confident of promotion (as well as talking about Derby A LOT). They have every reason to be positive too - they had a very strong squad which under-performed to a certain degree last season, and have made some very smart acquisitions during the summer. Jack Hobbs, Jamie Mackie and Gonzalo Jara in particular stand out as top quality signings at this level. Forest also signed long-time Town target Jamie Paterson from Walsall.

Forest are as short as 7/2 to be promoted to the Premier League (Town are 20/1 by comparison) and in Billy Davies they have a manager who knows the club very well. His return was celebrated by fans and he made an instant impact - after failing to win in his first two games he led Forest to six consecutive league wins, beginning with the 6-1 mauling of Town. At one point Forest looked as though they might even threaten the top two but their form tailed off worryingly to the end of the season. They finished just one point off the playoffs after winning only one of their last eight games.

They'll need to get off to a good start this season if they're to keep up with the teams fighting at the top of the table. This season looks like it will be the most competitive it's been in a while at the top end with all three relegated teams looking very strong while Forest, Leicester, Bolton and Watford all have ambitions to finish in the top two. Forest were arguably the most impressive team we played last season over two games - it's between them and Leicester for me - and they head into this weekend as heavy favourites. Forest to score four or more at 10/1 does look tempting.
Does a good start guarantee success?
Our last five opening games of the season, along with our league performance thereafter, are below:
12/13: Cardiff 1 TOWN 0 - Finished 19th
11/12: TOWN 1 Bury 1 - Finished 4th (promoted)
10/11: Notts County 0 TOWN 3 - Finished 3rd
09/10: Southend United 2 TOWN 2 - Finished 6th
08/09: Stockport County 1 TOWN 1 - Finished 9th

A good start won't necessarily mean a good season. On the three occasions we've won in the last ten years we haven't been promoted once, while our two promotion campaigns started with draws. Likewise the three opening day losses we've suffered haven't resulted in relegation - there's nothing much to read into opening day results as teams can improve, or regress over the course of a 46 game season. Indeed we kicked off the 2005/06 season with a 2-1 defeat at The City Ground but finished three places above Forest.

At the end of September last season Town were top of the league after seven games having just beaten then on-fire Blackpool at Bloomfield Road. At the same time Peterborough United had lost all seven of their opening games. However, deep into the second half of our final game of the season we were stuck below Posh who had found great form after their dire start while we had suffered a terrible slump after a bright start. Point being - a good start is nice but eventually counts for nothing unless you're consistent across 46 games.
Head to head
We've conceded an alarming 13 goals in our last three visits to The City Ground - last season's 6-1 hammering was preceded by a 2-1 defeat in 2008 while in 2007 we were thumped 5-1. Last season's loss was one of a number of collapses, we were 1-0 up but ended up being lucky to concede only six with Radoslaw Majewski netting a hat-trick. We haven't had much luck against Forest at all in recent seasons as we've currently gone six league games without a win, a record any Town fan would be delighted to end on Saturday.

We haven't managed to claim three points at The City Ground since we claimed a 3-1 win in December 2000. Kevin Gallen scored two and Peter Ndlovu got the other on a Wednesday night on that occasion. That was the exception rather than the rule though in recent meetings as as we've only four of the last 19 meetings between the two teams. Our best run against Forest was a long, long time ago. We went 10 games without defeat between 1920 and 1952, winning eight of those games. Overall head to head record: TOWN (16), Forest (12), Draw (12).
Predictions
I'm not going to predict the team that Mark Robins will pick this weekend, I'm going to give the team that I'd like to see play. The defence picks itself with Gerrard injured and no new defender yet signed (at the time of writing). I'd play Hogg in the middle with Norwood and Clayton, with Clayton allowed to push further forward. Scannell and Hammill are both better than Ward in my opinion, while Vaughan picks himself as our best centre forward.

Robins likes to play a 4-2-3-1 system with one striker, two deep midfielders, and three attacking midfielders (two wingers and one player linking up play between midfield and striker). However, our defence remains leaky and Forest are a VERY good team, so for those reasons I'd lose the advanced midfielder - Paterson has played this role in pre-season - and have three deeper midfielders, with Hammill and Scannell offering the ability to run the ball out on the counter attack.

Right, scoreline prediction. We certainly look better going forward and have been more creative in pre-season so I believe we have goals in us. However, unless we sign a central defender soon we will still leak goals like a sieve. My prediction therefore - 4-2 TO FOREST.









Monday, 15 July 2013

How do we look for the coming season?

With pre-season in full swing it's a good time to look at our squad heading into the 2013/14 season. Are the players we've signed better than the ones we let go? Have we strengthened in the areas where we were weakest last season? Are we in better shape than we were in May? All questions I'll attempt to answer.

The obvious weakness in our squad once last season had finished was up front. James Vaughan and Jermaine Beckford, both superb towards the end of the campaign, returned to their parent clubs while Lee Novak and Alan Lee were allowed to leave the club at the end of their respective contracts. Daniel Carr and James Spencer were the only two recognised strikers on our books, and recognised is being generous to both players.

Mark Robins has certainly addressed this issue with the signings of James Vaughan, Martin Paterson and Town old boy Jon Stead. Vaughan is certainly the most popular of those three players but all three come with decent reputations and in my opinion strengthen our squad. Vaughan was our Player of the year last season and his signing was a huge coup, while Paterson and Stead are better than the outgoing Novak and Lee.

Below are quick reviews of all three new strikers from fans who have seen them at close quarters very recently. Thanks to the people who helped out with this, and be sure to give them all a follow on Twitter!

James Vaughan - Signed from Norwich City (undisclosed)
@Terrier1987cas The only doubt surrounding Vaughan is his fitness - his style of play means he's susceptible to injury so at times we have to wrap him up in cotton wool, and occasional niggles are almost inevitable. Put that concern aside however and you have nothing but positives. Vaughan finished last season as top goalscorer with 14 goals and also won the Player of the season award, but I believe we've yet to see the best of him. He certainly has more goals in him and I don't see any reason why he can't hit 20+ this season if he remains fit, but he also offers work-rate and intelligence that we've lacked previously. Everyone knew this was the signing that needed to happen, and thankfully it has.

Last 3 seasons:
2010/11 Crystal Palace (Championship): 30 appearances, 9 goals
2011/12 Norwich City (Premier League): 5 appearances, 0 goals
2012/13 Huddersfield (Championship): 33 appearances, 14 goals

Jonathan Stead - Signed from Bristol City (free transfer)
@TheExiledRobin "There was an element of concern when Stead signed, someone who's career appeared to be on a downward trajectory and of whom the main memories were long barren runs in the Premier League. Thankfully, he leaves us three years later as one of the most popular players to have pulled on the red shirt in recent memory. If you want a 25 goal a season striker Stead isn't your man, his good work is in the build up to the goal, working the pitch to its limits and stretching defences. Very few players leave a club without at least a minority saying good riddance - however in this case, across hundreds of tweets and forum posts, there was not a single dissenting voice."

Last 3 seasons:
2010/11 Bristol City (Championship): 32 appearances, 10 goals
2011/12 Bristol City (Championship): 25 appearances, 6 goals
2012/13 Bristol City (Championship): 30 appearances, 5 goals

Martin Paterson - Signed from Burnley (free transfer)
@Wilson97Josh "Paterson was known at Burnley for his work-rate and determination, but he is far more than that. He has a talent for finding space to run into and isn't afraid to exploit it. His best season for us was 2008/09 when he contributed 12 goals to our promotion to the Premier League, with a few of them being great long range strikes.
@ClaretMarty "I've never seen Paterson give anything less than 100%. Ironically, after playing like a terrier for years he's finally become one! He was forced to play out wide in our Premier League season but never complained and continued to be a crowd favourite. He's a player who belongs up front, hopefully he'll get that chance at Huddersfield."

Last 3 seasons:
2010/11 Burnley (Championship): 14 appearances, 3 goals
2011/12 Burnley (Championship): 15 appearances, 3 goals
2012/13 Burnley (Championship): 39 appearances, 8 goals

There is certainly still a debate to be had as to whether we have replaced Beckford, who was definitely the out and out goalscorer of the team whose goals made a huge difference to our survival bid. Despite spending much of his loan spell with us injured he had clear quality in front of goal and when fit and firing was a huge player for us. Of the three strikers we've signed only Vaughan has scored more than 10 goals in the past three seasons, and even then only once.

Reading the above views of Bristol City and Burnley fans it seems clear than neither Stead or Paterson have been used as out and out strikers in recent years. Stead is very much a man who likes to be involved in the build up to goals while Paterson has been played out wide despite his favoured position being up front. I definitely think Paterson will take a more central role for Town while I also think there are more goals to come from Vaughan who can definitely add to his 14 goals last term.

Another position most people agreed we needed to strengthen was on the wings. Danny Ward and Sean Scannell were the only two out and out wingers in the squad at the end of last season. With only two wingers we would be very weak if either picked up an injury or suspension, and we'd probably have to sacrifice Adam Clayton to play out wide despite his best position being in the centre of midfield. This is something else Robins has addressed and he's brought in a player he's very familiar with.

Adam Hammill - Signed from Wolves (undisclosed)
@ChrisRyder_ "I would definitely have had him back here. He played his best football at Barnsley under Robins, I expect big things from him this season if he knuckles down."
@BarnsleyBoy96 "He will find his way again under Robins if he gets a decent run in the team. He's a fantastic wing player and is at his best when he can run at the defence."
@Ryan_Wingrove "Very good at long range shooting and very tricky on the ball. He's a good all-round winger who will get plenty of balls into the box as well as contributing goals himself.

Last 3 seasons:
2010/11 Wolves (Premier League): 10 appearances, 0 goals
2011/12 Wolves (Premier League): 9 appearances, 0 goals
2012/13 Huddersfield (Championship): 16 appearances, 2 goals

First off, I'll say that Hammil's loan spell with Town last season was unremarkable at best. However, I'll also say that I wouldn't read anything into that as I expect the Hammill we see this coming season to be a very different player. Robins knows Adam well and will get the best out of him, proven by the winger's superb form for Barnsley when Robins was in charge and evidenced by the views of Barnsley fans above. At times last season we cried out for a match winner, and I think Hammill will be just that if he's reinvigorated under Robins.

Those additions leave us with a current first team squad of:

GK - Smithies, Bennett
DF - Hunt, Woods, Dixon, Clarke, Lynch, Gerrard, Wallace
MF - Ward, Scannell, Hammill, Clayton, Southern, Norwood, Gobern
ST - Vaughan, Stead, Paterson
I know we have young players like Carr, Holmes and Sinnott who some fans want to see given a run in the first team, but I've stuck to established first team players who are all but guaranteed to feature prominently. There's no doubt that those young players will serve a purpose at some point this season, but I see that purpose being filling the bench when we're short of players. The last thing we should be looking to do is rely on these youngsters in any kind of major way, as they're simply not ready.

Looking at that squad it's clear that we're still quite light in terms of numbers, so I expect possibly another signing and at least two loanees arriving before the end of August. I'd like to see a young striker brought in on loan to offer competition for places, while a centre back and attack-minded midfielder would also be high up my priorities list. We've so far only strengthened up front so I'd be surprised if Robins decided he was 100% happy with the defence and midfield that finished last season.

The major question them remains: are we in better shape now than we were at the end of last season? I'd say yes, although I think we all still have doubts, especially over a defence which leaves plenty to be desired. I've never been a fan of Peter Clarke, while Lynch and Gerrard both have plenty to prove after stop/start first seasons with Town. A top class centre back would be top of my shopping list now, someone in the ilk of Sean Morrison (highly unlikely I know) as well as a midfielder with a bit more creativity moving forward than our current crop.

Although the signings we've made have improved the squad, I think the biggest plus heading into this season is that we will have had a full pre-season under Mark Robins. He was one of three managers I wanted when Grayson got sacked and he turned us around magnificently under difficult circumstances last season. I'm very intrigued to see where he can take us and expect to see a very different team travel to Nottingham on the opening day of the season to the one that got battered in his first game as Town manager.

Thursday, 4 July 2013

Finally... Vaughan will tear you apart again

Has there ever been a more universally liked player at Town than James Vaughan? I certainly can't think of anyone. There might have been players who were fan favourites because they played the game well, but Vaughan is something different, he's someone who connects with fans on a human level. His contributions with the ball are massive, but his impact off the ball is just as important, and the combination of the two make him something of a cult hero in West Yorkshire.
Vaughan will wear the number 9 shirt having completed his permanent move to Town
It was Vaughan's equaliser in the 81st minute against Barnsley that finally secured our Championship status for at least another season, and he also scored a hat-trick the week before to put us in a great position going into that memorable final day. Overall he bagged 14 times in 33 starts - a fantastic record in a team fighting at the wrong end of the table creating few goalscoring opportunities. Equally as fantastic is the fact that he went the entire season without picking up a serious injury.

Upon his arrival from Norwich on loan in late August he was instantly labelled 'sicknote', it was to be expected that his previous injury record would be used against him. Watching him in action it was immediately obvious why he'd picked up more knocks than your average centre forward. Lung-bursting runs across the width of the pitch to harass defenders, physical aerial duels with giant centre backs, and putting his body on the line at every opportunity are all vital parts of his game.

It was therefore certainly a gamble that we took when bringing him in on loan for the rest of the season. Had he picked up a serious injury early on we'd have still had to pay his wages to the end of the season, and one would hazard a guess that his wages were significant for a club of our size. After a few early scares however his fitness wasn't a problem at all - there was always an underlying fear when watching him play that he'd get injured but nothing ever materialised, and long may that stay the same!
Vaughan's winner at Elland Road further endeared him to the Town faithful
Vaughan's impact last season cannot be underplayed in any way - we would have been relegated long before his goal on the last day of the season without him. His contribution was much more than goals though, he's an influential figure to both fans and teammates alike, and he offers immense work-rate mixed with genuine intelligence. He covers a ridiculous amount of grass during 90 minutes, but he does so for a reason - whether it be closing down defenders, offering an outlet when we're under pressure, or creating space for fellow attackers, his movement off the ball is outstanding and much needed.

Indeed his impact was evident from the very beginning. In our opening 10 games last season, six featured James Vaughan. We were unbeaten in those six games, amassing 16 points from a possible 18 while in the games he didn't play we didn't win once, taking a single point from a possible 12. That trend continued, albeit to a lesser extent as we went on a torrid run with Simon Grayson losing the plot completely, throughout the season. With Vaughan on the pitch we were a much better team because he's the focal point of everything good that we do.

He was always going to be a success at Town, it seemed inevitable from the beginning as fans took an instant like to the former Everton player who is the youngest ever Premier League goalscorer. He constantly showed an immense appreciation for the support he received from fans, with celebrations in front of supporters like after the Burnley game at Turf Moor going a long way to cementing his 'cult hero' status. Perhaps the final tipping point for him becoming a true hero was his late winner at Elland Road and the epic celebration that followed, beating them meant just as much to him as it did to us!
Corner flags across the country beware
It's difficult to say whether signing Vaughan will result in further season card sales, or whether shirts with 'VAUGHAN - 9' on the back will start flying off the shelves, but one thing it will do is create a huge buzz among the fans and playing staff. Everyone knew that this was the deal that needed to happen, everyone knew how important he was to us last season and how important he would be to us if we managed to secure his signature. Well he's here, he's a Huddersfield Town player for the next three seasons at least, and our prospects for the coming season are much greater for it.

It's a shame that we won't get to see Jermaine Beckford alongside Vaughan again, but the signings of Stead and Paterson mean we have more quality up front than we did last season. Between the three of them, and a loan addition that I feel will be added, we have more than enough firepower to make a real impact this season. I'm not going to say that we will be challenging at the top end of the table because the league is even more competitive this season that it was last season, but I certainly don't expect us to struggle again.

A final congratulations has to go to Dean Hoyle, Nigel Clibbens, Ross Wilson and Mark Robins for making Vaughan at home during his spell on loan last season, and doing what was necessary to secure his signature. We've got a great infrastructure at the club now and this signing, and also the signing of Paterson who turned down 'bigger' clubs to sign for Town, shows that we can attract top drawer players to Leeds Road. Plenty doubted whether or not we could bring Vaughan here permanently, but we have and for that we must be grateful to the people who are in charge at the club.

One last thing, corner flags everywhere beware because... Vaughan will tear you apart again!

Thursday, 9 May 2013

Cas's end of season review

The season is over. After last weekends epic end of season finale, with both Town and Barnsley surviving on the final day after a 2-2 draw in which neither team took part in the final two minutes, it's all over. Here I analyse the season and hand out a few awards, have a read and let me know whether you agree or not...

Overall performance - SUCCESS

How anyone can say this season was anything but a success is beyond me. We were promoted via the League One playoffs last May with a poor team which was carried for the most part by Jordan Rhodes, and which improved defensively only when Sean Morrison was brought in on loan. Rhodes left for Blackburn with only three games of the season gone while Morrison stayed at Reading for the entire season. We therefore played pretty much all this past season without our top goalscorer and best defender from last season.

Replacements were brought in with Anthony Gerrard and Joel Lynch signing to add defensive steel, and James Vaughan and Jermaine Beckford to increase our options in attack. Lynch looked like he was the answer to our defensive problems at the beginning of the season but his form dropped off massively, while Gerrard never really impressed. Vaughan and Beckford both proved their worth to the team at the end of the season by scoring the goals that kept us up, but unfortunately they both spent large spells on the sidelines.

Then you have the other signings we made last summer. Paul Dixon, Keith Southern, Adam Clayton, Oliver Norwood and Sean Scannell arrived during Simon Grayson's first and only summer in charge. Of those, only Adam Clayton managed to maintain his place as a regular starter throughout the season. Paul Dixon looked good in spells but never really got a proper run in the team, Norwood impressively but tailed off, Southern added steel in midfield but spent a long time out injured, and Scannell failed to impress until the back end of the season.

Simon Grayson was also sacked during the season. Dean Hoyle took a little too long to act in my opinion, letting us go 12 matches without a win before finally relieving Grayson of his duties. Mark Robins was eventually appointed with the tough task of getting the best out of a depleted squad and turning our season around. The former Barnsley manager did a superb job to make us a much tougher team to beat and secure some massive wins at the back end of the season which eventually ensure survival.

Despite selling our biggest asset (albeit for £8 million), sacking our manager after less than 12 months in charge, and going on a 12 game run without a win, we still achieved our ultimate goal of survival. That's what it all comes down to - our goal at the beginning of the season was to be in The Championship again next season, and we will be. In what was probably the toughest season in English football second tier history, we outfought five teams and eventually finished on a very good 58 points, four vital points above the relegation zone.

Player of the season - JAMES VAUGHAN
Honourable mentions - Alex Smithies, Adam Clayton

There was only ever one candidate for this award. James Vaughan correctly won the award at the end of season ceremony, becoming the first ever loanee to be names Player of the season, and gets the nod from me as well. We've had some good loanes in the past such as Peter Ndlovu, Leon Knight, Robert Page and Sean Morrison, but none even come close to the impact which Vaughan has had this season. He arrived on loan from Norwich at the end of August to a mixed reaction, but by the end of the season he'd cemented his place in Town folklore.

Vaughan finished the season as top goalscorer with 14 goals, and scored the vital goal against Barnsley which secured our Championship status. He had a terrible record before arriving in West Yorkshire so represented a but of a gamble, and he played only two thirds of our games, but that was enough game time for him to make a massive impact on our season. His commitment and workrate is unmatched and has a positive impact on those around him, as well as making him a nuisance to opposition defenders. He scored pivotal goals against Leeds and Barnsley, while netting a hat-trick against Bristol City.

The only player who ever came close to threatening Vaughan was Alex Smithies. The academy product had his best season to date in goals, making some world class saves at vital times and improving his command of the penalty area significantly. Before the season I wasn't convinced that he'd cut it at this level but he's definitely proved me wrong. Adam Clayton deserves a mention for his early season performances and for his all-round good performances whenever he played central.
Best match - BARNSLEY (HOME)
Honourable mentions - Leeds (away), Wolves (away)

This was just as easy as the Player of the season award. There have been some brilliant away days this season, and it's been a pleasure to watch better teams inside better stadiums having suffered so many years away from the second tier. Particular highlights were away wins at Elland Road and Molineux. It's always sweet to beat Leeds but to do so on their own patch with a late winner was extra special. The away win at Wolves was when many people really started to believe Town could stay up, with two second half goals from Jermaine Beckford sending a fantastic away following into raptures.

They were great matches, and Sheffield Wednesday and 'the towel' also deserve special mention, but the winner was always going to be the epic final game of the season. It had everything - the typical nervy Town start, the genuine fear of relegation, the pain of twice going behind, the joy of twice equalising, the ecstasy of final day survival, and the once in a lifetime opportunity to share all those emotions with a fellow set of supporters. Everyone in attendance witnessed something truly unique, and it was the perfect outcome with Peterborough United suffering the heartache of relegation while both Yorkshire clubs survived. 
Worst match - FOREST (AWAY)
Honourable mentions - Peterborough (away), Charlton (home)

It says a lot about how awful we've been at times this season that horrific away defeats at Leicester and Watford don't even make my shortlist for this award. The winner, or loser, of this award, goes to the Tuesday night humiliation away at Nottingham Forest. From a personal perspective the journey to the game was a nightmare, having to rush from work and getting stuck in rush hour traffic on the awful ringroad. Things got even worse once inside the City Ground, as despite going in front we were truly hammered, the game ending 6-1 when it could have easily been double figures. Perhaps what makes this game worse is that it was Mark Robins first league game in charge of Town, and to many it signaled what could be to come.

Leicester and Watford were horrid performances, but decent days out, whereas the two matches I've given honourable mentions to were horrid on both accounts. Peterborough, similar to Forest, was a desperate rush after work only to see Town deliver a terrible performance and lose convincingly in what was to be an omen for future performance after a good start to the season. The Charlton game was a huge missed opportunity at a time when we really needed to start picking up home wins - an early goal for the Addicks was followed by a ridiculously dull game in which we never even threatened to cause them problems.
Goal of the season - BECKFORD V WOLVES
Honourable mentions - Vaughan v Leeds, Hammill v Birmingham

This award went to Sean Scannell for his individual effort at Molineux at the end of season ceremony, but that goal doesn't even make my top three. For a while I considered giving the award for the winner against Leeds, scored by James Vaughan. A great dash down the right by Hunt followed by an inch perfect pass and a calm finish to send the Town fans crazy, brilliant. Adam Hammill also deserves a mention for his solo goal in the dying stages of the home game against Birmingham. Getting the ball out wide, he started a mazy run to the edge of the area where he placed a great finish into the far corner.

The winning goal however belongs to Jermaine Beckford, who could have also been considered for great finished against Wolves away and Millwall at home. His winning goal however came early in the campaign during what I believe was our best performance of the season. Jack Hunt with another run down the right flank before putting a great ball into the box which Beckford finished in stunning fashion. He showed brilliant confidence and technique to hammer a volley into the goal from around ten yards out, showing his clear class which was to become vital at the business end of the season.
Untapped potential - ADAM CLAYTON
Honourable mentions - Sean Scannell, Oliver Norwood

This award goes to Adam Clayton. He was on the shortlist for Player of the season but had he showed a bit more consistency, or just played in the centre of midfield more often, he might have pushed Vaughan a lot harder. The former Leeds midfielder is by a distance our best midfielder, but has spent a large portion of the season playing on the right instead of in a central position where he's much more effective. I genuinely feel that if we sign another wide player and Clayton gets to play in his favoured position more often than we might see one of the best midfielders at Town in many years.

Sean Scannell and Oliver Norwood were the two other contenders for this award. Norwood has undoubted ability on the ball, and can pick a pass as well as anyone in our squad on his day. However, his days became few and far between and he finished the season as a bit-part player. If the Northern Ireland international can regain his form, and importantly his confidence, we could have a real player on our hands. Sean Scannell is another player who impressed at times, especially towards the end of the season, but he needs to work on his end product. If he can deliver better balls into the box, and stop running down so many blind alleys, he might reach the potential everyone saw in him as a youngster at Palace.
Most over-rated - OSCAR GOBERN
Honourable mentions - Jack Hunt, Peter Clarke

Perhaps this award is a bit harsh, but things can't always be positive! I've been very vocal about my thoughts on Jack Hunt and Peter Clarke this season, but neither of them take this award. Hunt looks likely to move to pastures new this summer, and if we can secure a fee of £2 million or more it will be fantastic business - his attacking prowess in my opinion doesn't make up for the liability he is defensively. Club captain Clarke remains over-rated in my opinion as his head goes down much too quickly when things go wrong, and once again he was responsible for more individual errors leading to goals conceded than any other player.

Instead, my most over-rated player award goes to Oscar Gobern. The praise thrown his way upon his return has been nothing short of ridiculous. Our form did turn around when he recovered from injury, but that was more down to Robins getting his messages across than Gobern making any huge contributions. There is a player in there, but for me he's much too slow in possession, gives too many freekicks away, and is way too weak for a man of his size. If he can bulk up over the summer and become a bit less passive on the ball he may play a key part next season, otherwise I feel people might start to see past whatever they currently see in him.

Tuesday, 30 April 2013

Barnsley (H) - Who's for the drop?

45 games, 4,050 minutes, 243,000 seconds (plus stoppage time). The aim for both Barnsley and Town at the beginning of the season was survival. That never changed for the Tykes while we had a brief dream of more early in the season, but it’s certainly the aim for both clubs this weekend. Both clubs have experienced manager changes during a season that has once again proven the Championship is one of the most competitive and dramatic leagues in the world. With both clubs facing the very real threat of League One football next season, it now comes down to a Yorkshire derby shoot-out on a dramatic final day of the season.

The implications of relegation
The Championship has for my money been the most exciting league in the world this season. At the beginning of April, with only 6 games remaining for most teams, there were still 14 clubs fearing the drop. Peterborough in 23rd place were only six points behind Millwall in 11th place, and the Lions, who had two games in hand on most clubs at that time, are now one of seven teams who could end up in one of the last two remaining relegation spots. Bristol City are already consigned to League One football next season, while the other two spots will be taken by two of Wolves, Barnsley, Peterborough, Millwall, Sheffield Wednesday and Huddersfield.

Not only will the teams relegated miss out on playing in one of the most exciting leagues in the world, but they'll also face a huge financial loss. Barnsley General Manager Dan Rowing last week said "We believe that with the loss of gates and solidarity monies and such that we will lose between five and six million of our turnover". With Tykes owner Patrick Cryne making no secret of his intent to sell the club, it would be a much tougher proposition to do so in League One. While Huddersfield owner Dean Hoyle has already stated he would not be looking to sell the club in the event of relegation, he would certainly feel the financial impact after putting so much of his own money into the clubs promotion efforts in the past few seasons.
Wolves look certain to be relegated, and Town heaped further pressure on them a few weeks ago with a 3-1 win at Molineux
Skybet odds for relegation:
Wolves 1/50; Barnsley 4/6; Peterborough 6/4; Sheffield Wednesday 10/1; Millwall 14/1; Huddersfield 20/1

Wolves are favourites for the drop as they need to win away at promotion hopefuls Brighton on the last day while hoping neither Barnsley or Peterborough pick up points. Barnsley will be relegated if they lose, or if they fail to better Peterborough’s result. Millwall and Sheffield Wednesday need to equal or better the results of Barnsley and Peterborough, while Town will be relegated if they lose to Barnsley while the other three teams all win. Blackburn can no longer be relegated because Huddersfield and Barnsley are playing each other while Wolves can't catch them.

How have we ended up here?
Back in September we travelled to promotion favourites Blackpool and won 3-1 to leapfrog them into second place after seven games. At that point we started to dream a little, nobody got carried away but it wasn’t unthinkable that we could perhaps push for a top half finish or even a playoff place. We were still looking good in November as a 1-0 win away at Barnsley kept us in a playoff spot, 14 points clear of the relegation zone. However, after that game at Oakwell we went on a miserable run of 12 games without a win, at the end of which we’d dropped to 18th place and were only seven points in front of the bottom three.

That win came under the stewardship of Mark Lillis as Simon Grayson was sacked after a 12th consecutive game without a win. Lillis took control of three league games and earned a very respectable four points, but he was never going to be a long-term solution. Instead on Valentines Day we appointed Mark Robins as manager, poaching him from Coventry City where he had done a great job in difficult circumstances. His first task was to shore up a leaky defence, and despite hammerings against Forest and Brighton early into his reign he's managed that as we've conceded one or less in nine of our last 10 games. We've also started scoring more goals, and three wins in our last four matches have seen us move three points clear of the relegation zone at the perfect time.
James Vaughan scored a hat-trick as Town beat Bristol City 3-1 at Ashton Gate last weekend
Barnsley also started the season in decent form. They were favourites to be relegated before the season started but after seven games they were in mid-table with 10 points. At that time Peterborough were rock bottom having lost all seven of their games, showing just how impressive it is that they might yet survive. While Peterborough improved, Barnsley dropped worryingly and by the end of 2012 they were bottom of the league and looking in serious trouble. Keith Hill was sacked on 29 December and an embarrassing couple of weeks followed as potential candidates to replace him publicly stated their preference to reject the job. Hill's assistant manager David Flitcroft had steadied the ship following his departure and was eventually given the job on a permanent basis.

It's difficult to explain just how well Flitcroft has done since taking the reigns at Oakwell. If the league had started when he was appointed Barnsley would be in fifth place, while Peterborough and Sheffield Wednesday would both be in the top 10. It's therefore quite hard to understand how all three teams go into the final game of the season facing potential relegation. Barnsley have taken 33 points from 20 games in 2013 yet head into this weekends match taking the final relegation spot despite beating second placed Hull last time out. If they drop into League One this weekend on their current points total then Barnsley will set a new record for the most points in a season for a club relegated from The Championship.

It will be an unwanted record, but one that is certain to be broken this weekend. Each team who could mathematically be relegated on Saturday has already accumulated more points than any relegated team in the last 10 years. This season has been so unpredictable that Town currently have 57 points, a tally that would have seen us finish 17 points above the relegation zone last season. In fact in seven of the last 10 seasons we would have finished at least 10 points clear of the drop zone, with the closest total to 57 in that period being Leicester City's 52 points in the 2007/08 season. Whoever takes that last relegation spot this year will have the unwanted consolation that they've been relegated from the toughest season in English football second tier's history. 
Barnsley are currently in the relegation zone despite beating second placed Hull on Saturday, and need to at the very least avoid defeat this weekend
That night in 2006 and Mark Robins
Both teams were promoted to The Championship via the playoffs, and via penalties, with Barnsley beating Swansea City at the Millenium Stadium in 2006 while we beat Sheffield United at Wembley last May. After seven seasons in League One it's unthinkable for Town fans that we might end up there again next season, facing unwanted trips to Crawley and Shrewsbury. However, Barnsley fans don't want to make those journeys either, and the away end is already sold out for this weekends match as the travelling South Yorkshire contingent have far from given up hope that they will be playing Championship football again next season. They will no doubt take hope from the fact that the last time they visited the Galpharm Stadium they overturned a 1-0 first leg deficit to book their place in the playoff final which they went on to win.

That night was Monday 15th May 2006, and until Old Trafford a couple of years ago it was the most painful day in recent memory for Town fans. We did lose a second leg against Millwall in 2010, but that was a game not many expected us to win. We'd already done the hard part in 2006 though, as Gary Taylor-Fletcher had given us a vital 1-0 away win at Oakwell. Things went awry in the second leg as goals from Paul Hayes (from the penalty spot despite a foul clearly outside the area), Paul Reid and Daniel Nardiello were enough to give Barnsley a 3-1 win on the night and 3-2 on aggregate. The hero in the playoff final would be Nick Colgan who is currently employed by Town, and the manager who masterminded that playoff success was Andy Ritchie who would later have an ill-fated spell in West Yorkshire.

Ritchie and Colgan aren't the only ones to end up in Huddersfield after spells at Barnsley. Current Town gaffer Mark Robins was in charge at Oakwell for the better part of two seasons before leaving in exceptional circumstances in 2011. When Robins took over at Barnsley in September 2009 they were bottom of the league and favourites for relegation, but by Christmas they were nine points clear of the drop zone and finished the season safe. He kept them up when most expected them to go down again the following season, but resigned following differences with the board. After rebuilding his reputation at Coventry this season he's transformed our fortunes and is close to keeping us in The Championship which would go down as another great achievement for the former Manchester United striker.
Mark Robins has the opportunity to relegate his former club this weekend
Not many managers get the chance to relegate a former club, but Robins has that chance this weekend. He knows that if he beats his old employers on Saturday then they will be playing League One football next season. The same thing he avoided in his two year stint as manager at Barnsley he could inflict upon them. - relegation. Robins will no doubt feel an affiliation to his old club, but at the same time he will still feel wronged by the board, after all he left in strange circumstances after disagreements with the higher-ups at Oakwell. What a strange twist of fate then that he could now get the ultimate revenge for any perceived wrong doing by condemning Barnsley to League One football next season.

My line-up
Robins opted to play 4-5-1 when he first took charge but since steadying a leaky defence he's reverted to a more offensive 4-4-2 system. Jermaine Beckford and James Vaughan had shown signs of a promising partnership earlier in the season, and again recently having both suffered injuries earlier in the season. Beckford missed out on Saturday due to a thigh strain but it's hoped he could be fit again for this weekend. Oliver Norwood and Oscar Gobern have also developed a good partnership in midfield while Peter Clarke and Anthony Gerrard, despite looking clumsy have overseen our most productive defensive performances in recent months. The team currently picks itself which is a refreshing change from the end of the Grayson era, so my team for our final game of the season, but hopefully not our final game in The Championship, would be as below:
If you read this you're gay
No predictions. No excuses.
I'm not making any predictions for this weekends match. In an ideal world I'd like all three Yorkshire teams to survive with Peterborough going down, but that's just too risky to wish for. Despite being unbearable to watch at times, this season has been one of my favourite following Town. The drama has been unrivalled and it's been great to watch better teams in better stadia compared to the previous seven seasons in League One, and League Two before that. I can simply hope that we are still in The Championship next season, otherwise this summer will be just as depressing as the one that followed the Old Trafford debacle.

Both teams will look at certain moments this season and think they could have gone a different way. Town will look at that 12 game run without a win, penalty appeals at Bolton and Blackburn, and missed opportunities on home soil against Sheffield Wednesday, Peterborough and Charlton. Barnsley could rue not sacking Keith Hill earlier than they did given the turnaround since his departure (likewise us with Grayson), Derby's last minute equaliser at Oakwell not long ago, and numerous home defeats against teams they will have expected to take points from. None of those things matter anymore though, and both teams have a chance to secure their Championship status this weekend. It's all come down to this - one game, 90 minutes, 5,400 seconds (plus stoppage time).

Wednesday, 10 April 2013

Wolves v Huddersfield preview

Town travel to Molineux this weekend for the first of the five games we have left to maintain our Championship status. With Blackburn, Millwall, Bristol City and Barnsley to follow, all our remaining fixtures offer us a great opportunity to take points away from relegation rivals. With only six points seperating Peterborough in 23rd and Birmingham in 13th, it's vital that teams at the bottom start winning games to close the gap on the the teams above them.

Despite being touted as promotion favourites at the beginning of the season, Wolves find themselves firmly in the relegation battle. They started the season well but plummeted alarmingly at the end of 2012, and didn't start 2013 any better as they failed to win a game until March. That run saw them go 12 games without a win, a feat matched only by Town who failed to claim three points between November and the end of January. It's those long spells without a win that leave both clubs sitting precariously above the drop zone and facing the very real possibility of League One football next season.
With both teams desperate to avoid relegation, they decided to change manager earlier in the season. Stale Solbakken was dismissed by Wolves after only six months in charge when they were 18th in the league. Although they were six points above the drop zone at the time of his departure they were dropping quick and had won only three of their last 16 league games. Town sacked Simon Grayson less than 12 months after appointing him as manager having gone 12 games without a win.

Dean Saunders was the man chosen to replace Solbakken, and despite going nine league games without a win upon taking charge he seems to have finally made the desired impact. Wolves have won four out of seven games since March, taking a very good 13 points from a possible 21 in that period. After going 12 games without a win before his appointment, Mark Robins has improved Town's fortunes with three wins in his first 10 games at the helm.

Wolves head into this weekends as favourites as they're third in the current Championship form table and unbeaten in their previous three home games. Town on the other hand have failed to win their last three games, but travel to Molineux in decent spirits having improved for recent matches against Bolton and Peterborough. Both teams currently have 48 points and popular consensus indicates 55 will be needed to guarantee survival, meaning wins will be needed to amass those vital seven points.
The last time Town played Wolves was in October earlier this season at the Galpharm Stadium. Goals from James Vaughan and Jermaine Beckford were enough to earn us three points, with Sylvan Ebanks-Blake getting a consolation for the away team. It's a sign of how much both teams have underperformed since then that a win on that day moved Town above Wolves into third place, just two points behind top of the league with 11 games played. Town had amassed 20 points from 11 games at that point, but have managed only 28 points from 30 games since.

As well as the last meeting between the two teams ending favourably for Town, recent matches at Molineux have also gone the way of the Yorkshire team. The last time we experienced defeat at Wolverhampton was in November 1988. Since that defeat we've visited Molineux six times without defeat, winning two games and drawing four. The most recent game away from Huddersfield saw a solitary Delroy Facey strike earn us a 1-0 win. Recent history is certainly on the side of Town heading into this weekends massive match.

Throughout the years there have been some big scorelines when we've played Wolves, with most of those games going the way of the midlanders. Twice Wolves have won 6-4 at Molineux, and between 1948 and 1951 they thrashed us 7-1 on three occasions. Overall Town have won one less game than Wolves when the two teams have met, with us managing 28 wins, Wolves 29, while there have been 12 stalemates. Despite our recent good form at Molineux, our opponents this weekend have the overall better record as they've won 19 games out of 34, scoring 89 goals in the process.
Although they've averaged 2.62 goals per game against Town at Molineux, Wolves head into this weekends encounter without their leading goalscorer. Sylvan Ebanks-Blake, who also scored in the meeting between the two teams earlier this season, looks set to miss the rest of the season with a broken leg. It's good news for Town that our opponents are missing their leading goal threat as no team in the Championship has managed to score fewer goals than us - we've managed a paltry 42 goals in 41 games.

With our attack being the least effective in the league, it's even more damning for Town that we also have the worst goal difference in the league. It currently stands at -26 and effectively gives us one less point than everyone else in the Championship, not good when in the middle of a relegation battle. That dire goal difference is largely a result of some large defeats away from home. We've conceded three or more goals on eight different occasions this season, conceding six against Leicester and Nottingham Forest, resulting in the worst away defensive record in the league - 44 goals have been shipped in 20 matches.

Town have also gone seven games without keeping a clean sheet, and haven't scored three in a game since September. Wolves have also failed to stop their opponents from scoring in their last five meetings, so perhaps our low-scoring strikers could cause some damage. However, with both teams fighting for their lives form and statistics could go out of the window on Saturday afternoon. Both sets of supporters will want to see quality, but fight and passion are just as important as the season draws to a close.
Town have no fresh injury worries ahead of this weekend, with Anthony Gerrard, Jack Hunt and Danny Ward all battling to be fit having missed the game against Peterborough. If fit I'd put Hunt and Ward back into the team in place of Woods and Arfield at right back and on the right wing. Even back at full fitness I'd leave Gerrard on the bench as I think Murray Wallace deserves to keep his place after a decent performance on Saturday. The only other change I'd make is to bring Adam Clayton back into the team to replace Norwood, with the former Leeds midfielder having served his two game suspension.

I always favour 4-5-1 away from home, and this weekend is no different. I do think Jermaine Beckford has been harshly criticised by many Town fans during his loan spell, but I'd keep him on the bench again for this game. James Vaughan is capable of scoring and offers us much needed work-rate up front, while Ward and Scannell are the only natural wingers available to Mark Robins. With Keith Southern still not ready to return to first team duties, Gobern and Danns will be the two deep lying midfielders behind the more creative Clayton.

If last weekends game was make or break, the same can certainly be said about this weekend. Things are so close at the bottom of the Championship that a win for either team on Saturday could move them four points clear of the drop zone, while a defeat could see them drop to second bottom. Although I do think these next two games are the easiest we have remaining, we can take nothing for granted and Town will have to be at their best to send another impressive away following home happy.

Thursday, 4 April 2013

Peterborough (H) - Make or break

I left the Reebok Stadium on Tuesday night in a strangely optimistic state of mind. It was strange to be so positive when Town had just suffered their second 1-0 defeat in a row. It was even stranger because on Saturday we play Peterborough United, a team who seem to always get the better of us. However, our performance in defeat is what gave me hope for the rest of the season.

Town head into this weekend's crunch relegation battle in 22nd place in The Championship but only three points behind Blackpool in 16th place, with our opponents just one point and one place behind us. The fact that both teams find themselves in this position is a little surprising considering their very different starts to the season. Two months into the season Peterborough seemed doomed having lost all seven of their opening fixtures, while we were flying high in second place.
Peterborough won three of their next six games after that woeful start to the season, with the third of those victories being a 3-1 home win against Town. Our performance that night was our worst of the season at that point by some distance, and Posh took full advantage as they strolled to a comfortable win. Town fans hoped it was just a minor blip, but in reality it turned out to be the beginning of the end of our dream start. We lost the following game 4-0 against Millwall and won only two of our next 16 matches.

The second of those wins, at home to Crystal Palace, was under the stewardship of Mark Lillis as Simon Grayson was sacked on the back of a 12 game winless run. Those 12 games without a win make the record of current manager Mark Robins look brilliant. The former Rotherham, Barnsley and Coventry manager has amassed three wins from nine matches since taking over in February. It's hard to imagine we could have won another game all season under Grayson.

Our most recent match against Bolton in midweek was certainly a million times better than any of the performances served up at the back end of Grayson's tenure. In fact it was the best we've looked in months, despite the scoreline. Only a man of the match display by Andrew Lonergan, the woodwork and a dodgy referee stopped us from scoring and earning a point, which would have been the very least we deserved having dominated for long spells.

However, when you're down at the bottom of the league nothing seems to go right. Sometimes that bit of luck needed never comes, and it's down to the players to make something happen. Hull's goal last weekend came after a clear foul on James Vaughan, while Sean Scannell was denied a blatant penalty on Tuesday night. If refereeing decisions go against us at the weekend the players need to make sure they're insignificant by winning the match over 90 minutes.
It was a horrendous mistake by captain Peter Clarke that gifted Bolton their winner on Tuesday night, and he's one of only three players remaining from THAT day in May 2011. It's definitely the lowest point in recent memory for Huddersfield fans, as a huge following from West Yorkshire travelled to Old Trafford only to see Peterborough score three goals in seven minutes which ended our quest for promotion. When it matters, we just don't seem to be able to beat them.

Posh manager Darren Ferguson has this week stated that he believes this weekend's game is "bigger than Old Trafford", and it's easy to see why considering neither club wants to face relegation back to League One. A defeat for either team in this huge match would make relegation even more of a possibility - Town would remain in the bottom three with by far the worst goal difference in the league, and Peterborough would be four points from safety.

From a Huddersfield perspective this weekend's game really is do or die. It might be a footballing cliché but we have six cup finals remaining starting against a Posh team who are unbeaten in their last seven league games and will be every bit as up for it as we are. If we perform as well as we did on Tuesday night we definitely have a great chance of coming away with the result, and the three points, that we desperately need.

The league as it stands: